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Marginal
Chikara Sashimi
If they're likely to roll, you can just delay the 236A to land the full thing. If you do it immediately, it'll either miss entirely or do nothing damage depending on if they roll left or right. Confirm to hit. You usually have time.Also, 236A is very sloppy after it hits, depending on their tech or sideroll it barely hits and does practically no damage at all. Stick with A+BG combo, and if they sideroll 2B+KB is combo. Very useful setup for 4[A+B] as well if you play your cards right.
If they do like to tech left, 3A+K = 50dmg tho.