Comments on NM vs Kilik 1:
1. Kilik's 1A+B is low and rings out behind him. Break it with B. His 3A+B leaves you on the ground in front of him. Break it with A. Note that after a break Kilik has the advantage.
2. Usually after NM's CH WS you would do NSS A+B into stuff. If you and your opponent trade hits then you will no longer shift into NSS. If this happens then either use 2A+B for damage, or GS KK for the RO.
3. 1A whiffs on grounded opponents at point blank range. After 33B6 GS B, if you pass under them, then you'll often be too close for 1A to hit. Back dashing will solve this problem. Otherwise, you can always go with 2[K], which will catch them if they stand up and don't quickly step or interrupt.
4. 66B is -4 on block. This makes it ideal for baiting a whiff post block by either back dashing, sidestepping or using B+K to retreat. Generally, it's not a good idea to use something slow like 1A after a blocked 66B, simply because most people will attack after they block something, so you're likely to eat CH. That said, some moves like iagA aren't a bad idea even after a blocked 66B, because most of the moves that can reach you after a blocked 66B will be slower than iagA, even taking into account the frame disadvantage off your blocked 66B. GS A is also an option, especially if you anticipate something like Kilik's 4B, which they may use to try and kill your back dash or B+K retreat.
5. Kilik's 66AA is something you should look to punish. Use 9B to jump the second hit and apply mind games as they get up. Or... if you're looking for style points, you can try and use 66B+K.
6. On NH, Kilik's 2A is +0~+1. This means that your WS K and WS are still both reasonable options. The only thing you have to watch out for is Kilik's WS B, which will sidestep and retreat, although WS K and WS should catch that too if timed well.
You were a little unlucky to lose this one, I think. Your application of 33B was excellent, which is something I probably don't do as much as I should. Your response to Kilik's 214 was great... you retreated and then use 33B, which effectively killed all of his options. Against Kilik, don't be afraid to mix things up at close range. NM's 1K, 11K, 66K, 6K, and 3K are all solid options, and 66K, 3K, and 11K will not lose to Ashura.
Comments on NM vs Kilik 2:
1. Kilik's WS B is a TC, retreating sidestep. Take careful note of when Kilik is crouching, in a lot of ways, he's more dangerous in crouch than he is standing up, because he has WS B, WS A, and 236 A+G_B+G mix ups, all of which can be very painful. Your best bet, if you're worried about WS B, is to use 3K if you're up close. If you're stuck in NSS, NSS K will lose to Kilik's WS B. On the other hand, NSS A will still hit, although depending on frame disadvantage it may be too slow. Just keep in mind that after NM's 3, Kilik is in FC and his WS options are usually more than enough to deal with NSS. Note: you can try NSS 236 A, but depending frames the aGI may not come out fast enough.
2. Learn to recognise 6AAA. It's one of Kilik's fastest moves, so you'll be seeing it a fair bit. Duck the last hit and punish accordingly. Post block Kilik's 6A is -10, his 6AA is -10 and 6AAA is -8 so you've got a huge amount of frame advantage, which you can use for mix ups.
3. 2AAA is another fairly telegraphed string. Look to jump punish the last low with 9B.
Overall, your play continues to improve, Engared. We really should do a mirror when OHN roles around... even if NM is just terrible against himself.
